![]() USC only scored 17 points against the Beavers, and although Utah scored 42 points and had 361 yards against them, only 199 of those were through the air. Oregon State has a veteran secondary that has routinely shut down opposing teams' passing attacks. Oregon State’s team is defined by its defense - something no one expected to say about the bowl-bound Beavers. 23 Oregon State at Washington (10:30 p.m. PICK: Oregon first half team total Over 24 points Oregon might be into the 40s by halftime. However, the Ducks played a poor first quarter against Cal, and I think that will get them fired up to start fast against Colorado. I do think it could be reasonable to expect Oregon not to show up in this one since the point spread is so large, and rival Washington comes to town next weekend. Two drives stalled inside the Cal 14, another stalled on fourth down, and another drive ended with a dropped pass that resulted in a turnover. Even last weekend, Oregon scored 21 against Cal's 41st-ranked defense and easily could have scored more. ![]() When they've played similar defenses - like Arizona's or Stanford's - they’ve scored 28 and 31 points in those first halves. Colorado’s defense ranks 119th overall and 130th in points per drive. The Ducks score the bulk of their offensive points in the second quarter, which makes them an outstanding first-half scoring team. Oregon continues to be the best rushing team in the country, and the offensive line has not allowed a sack this year. They rank third in overall efficiency and sixth in points per drive. The Ducks' offense this season has been excellent. ![]() So you’re welcome to wager on Colorado if you’d like, but I have a better option for you. Multiple teams have scored 10 points or more on Oregon in the fourth quarter of blowouts this season. When given the chance, Oregon’s second-team offense can’t score, and Oregon’s second-team defense has given up a ton of points. When the Ducks have been ahead by three or more touchdowns this season, they take the starters out of the game and allow the backups to get valuable playing time. I would not wager on Oregon to cover the spread in this game. The favorites have only covered 15 of those 34 times. Since 2003, we’ve only seen a Power Five team as a favorite of 30 points or more on the road against another Power Five team 34 times. ![]()
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March 2023
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